As 2025 approaches its end, President Claudia Sheinbaum’s approval ratings remain robust at 74%. However, this marks her lowest approval since taking office. Recent surveys from Enkoll, commissioned by El-Balad, highlight a significant shift in public perception amidst escalating government challenges.
Approval Ratings and Public Sentiment
Sheinbaum’s approval rating dipped by four points from September to December. In May 2025, her approval reached a peak of 83%. The latest survey, conducted from November 28 to December 1, shows a notable increase in disapproval, now at 24%, up from 21% a year earlier.
- Approval Rating: 74% (down from 83% in May 2025)
- Disapproval Rating: 24% (highest since December 2024)
Public perception of the nation’s situation is also affected. Only 62% believe things are improving, a decline from 71% in December 2014. Meanwhile, 34% feel the country is deteriorating, the highest recorded since the surveys began.
Factors Influencing Sentiment
Sheinbaum faces significant challenges following the assassination of Uruapan’s Mayor Carlos Manzo. This incident has reignited demands for improved security, impacting her approval. Additionally, Generation Z protests and opposition demonstrations add to political pressure.
- Key Events:
- Assassination of Carlos Manzo
- Youth demonstrations by Generation Z
- Transport workers’ and farmers’ protests
Survey Insights on Government Performance
Despite the challenges, the survey reveals that Sheinbaum’s government is viewed positively in several areas:
- Women’s Rights: 81% believe the situation is improving
- Social Support Programs: 79% positive perception
- Housing: 67% approval
- International Relations: 64% positive feedback
- Education: 66% approval rating
- Infrastructure: 62% positive perception
However, security, drug trafficking, and corruption remain major weaknesses, with the lowest approval ratings reflecting public dissatisfaction in these areas. Only 41% believe security is improving, and 51% cite insecurity and drug trafficking as the primary issue facing the country.
Public Concerns Regarding Corruption
Corruption continues to impact Sheinbaum’s credibility, with scandals involving members of her party, Morena. Public perception of anti-corruption efforts is low, with only 38% believing that the situation is improving, while 59% think it is worsening.
The Path Forward for Sheinbaum
Facing this backdrop, Sheinbaum plans a major rally in Mexico City’s Zócalo to galvanize support. This event is anticipated to attract thousands from Morena and its allied organizations. The rally is set for Saturday and aims to celebrate “seven years of transformation” while countering opposition demonstrations planned for December 14.
Political Landscape and Future Elections
With over a year until the 2027 elections, 41% of respondents identify with Morena, while support for opposition parties remains low:
| Party | Support (%) |
|---|---|
| Morena | 41% |
| Independent | 27% |
| PAN | 11% |
| Movimiento Ciudadano | 7% |
| PRI | 5% |
This demonstrates a complex political environment for Sheinbaum as she navigates public sentiment and prepares for potential challenges ahead. The rally will be a crucial opportunity for her to reinforce her administration’s achievements amid growing discontent.
