Why Rayados or Toluca Could Reach the Final

As the Apertura 2025 semifinal draws near, two teams are poised for a fierce competition: Monterrey and Toluca. Their first matchup will take place this Wednesday at the Estadio BBVA. Both teams are looking to assert their dominance and secure a place in the final.
Recent Performance and Historical Context
Monterrey enters this semifinal with unfinished business against Toluca. Earlier in the Apertura season, they suffered a heavy defeat, losing 6-2 at the Estadio Nemesio Diez. This loss adds pressure on Monterrey to perform and avenge themselves.
Monterrey’s Title Drought
Monterrey has been struggling to secure a title for six years, with their last victory dating back to the Apertura 2019 under coach Antonio Mohamed, who now leads Toluca. The Rayados aim to end this title famine, particularly with renowned defender Sergio Ramos in the squad, who may be nearing the end of his active career.
Toluca’s Strong Position
Toluca, the reigning Liga MX champions, advanced to the semifinals after facing Juárez. They won the first leg and clinched a scoreless draw at home. This consistency is reflected in their overall performance, contributing to their strong standing in the league.
Key Players to Watch
- Paulinho (Toluca): The leading scorer of Liga MX is a player to watch. His offensive prowess has been crucial for Toluca.
- Sergio Canales (Monterrey): Canales had a standout performance against América, scoring a key goal that helped secure Monterrey’s advances.
Injuries Impacting the Match
Toluca will face a significant challenge as they will be without Alexis Vega due to a knee injury. His absence is expected to impact the team’s performance, as he plays a pivotal role on the field.
Match Predictions and Outlook
Both teams possess unique strengths that could influence the outcome of the semifinal. Toluca is seen as the favorite, given their recent form and consistency throughout the season. They topped the league charts and have shown resilience in crunch moments.
On the other hand, Monterrey’s individual talents could shine when it matters most. Players like Ramos, Canales, and Germán Berterame bring experience and skill that could tip the scale in their favor.
Probable Line-up
Here are the potential line-ups for both teams:
| Monterrey | Toluca |
|---|---|
| Luis Cárdenas | Hugo González |
| Sergio Ramos | Diego Barbosa |
| Stefan Medina | Bruno Méndez |
| Gerardo Arteaga | Federico Pereira |
| Jorge Rodríguez | Jesús Gallardo |
| Oliver Torres | Franco Romero |
| Fidel Ambriz | Nicolás Castro |
| Sergio Canales | Jesús Angulo |
| Jesús “Tecatito” Corona | Helinho |
| Germán Berterame | Marcel Ruiz |
The Estadio BBVA has become a fortress for Monterrey, who have maintained an unbeaten streak there this season. However, overcoming Toluca will require a top-tier performance from the Rayados.
With both teams aiming for a spot in the finals, this semifinal clash promises to deliver intense moments and high-stakes football.




