Recent polling indicates that a significant majority of Conservative Party members anticipate the need for collaboration with Nigel Farage’s Reform UK following the upcoming election. According to a survey conducted by the ConHome website, many Tory members expect their party to support a government led by Farage.
Tories’ Expectations for Collaboration with Reform UK
The survey highlights that 53.9% of Tory members believe it’s probable that Mr. Farage will become Prime Minister after the next election. This figure breaks down as follows:
- Highly likely: 15.8%
- Likely: 38.1%
Support for Coalition or Arrangement
When asked about how Reform UK could maintain power, responses included:
- 24.4% favored a coalition with the Conservatives.
- 45% preferred a confidence and supply arrangement.
This means that nearly 70% of Tory members believe their party should assist Farage in reaching Downing Street. Additionally, 25% think that Farage may secure an overall majority independently.
Current Political Climate for Conservatives
These findings come amid increasing pressure on the Conservative leadership, particularly on Kemi Badenoch, whose position is now under scrutiny. Recent polling suggests that the Tories could only secure 14 seats if a general election were held today. High-profile defections have compounded the challenges facing the party.
Responses to the Survey
In response to the survey results, Zia Yusuf, an ally of Farage, claimed, “The Tory party is dead.” He characterized votes for the Conservatives as wasted, urging supporters to back Reform for stronger border policies and other reforms.
Despite acknowledging the polling, the Conservative Party has yet to officially respond. The survey also indicated that two-thirds of the 590 Tory members surveyed anticipate further high-profile defections, echoing recent exits by figures like Danny Kruger and former ministers such as Sir Jake Berry and Nadine Dorries.
The Future of the Conservative Party
Giles Dilnot, editor of ConHome, commented on the growing sentiment among Tory members. He noted that while the political landscape can change rapidly, the current views of party members form a concerning outlook for their future.
As the political scenario evolves, members of the Conservative Party are contemplating their alignment and the potential necessity of a partnership with Farage’s Reform UK. With challenges ahead, the next election will be critical in shaping the future of British politics.
