Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is set to visit Turkey this week to discuss negotiations aimed at resolving the ongoing conflict with Russia. The U.S. special envoy, Steve Witkoff, will accompany him during this critical meeting. However, the Kremlin has indicated that it will not send a representative to Turkey.
Turkey’s Role in the Ukraine-Russia Negotiations
This visit marks a significant moment as it highlights Turkey’s increasing influence in international diplomacy. Earlier this year, Turkey facilitated preliminary talks between Ukraine and Russia, which primarily resulted in progress regarding prisoner exchanges.
Despite multiple international peace initiatives spearheaded by the United States failing to yield results, Turkey’s unique position allows it to maintain relations with both Moscow and Kyiv. This diplomatic stance enables Turkey to act as a mediator—a role that could enhance its geopolitical stature.
Geopolitical Implications of Turkey’s Diplomatic Role
If successful in mediating between Ukraine and Russia, Turkey could solidify its status as a critical geopolitical player. Its influence would extend across several regions, including:
- Central Asia
- The Middle East
- Europe
- The South Caucasus
This development occurs as the influence of both Russia and Iran appears to be declining, particularly in the context of the Trump route project. While this initiative focuses on economic growth, it has the potential to offer the United States strategic leverage in the South Caucasus and beyond.
Turkey’s Economic Aspirations in the Region
Turkey stands to benefit significantly from this emerging route, supporting its long-term economic and logistical plans. These plans target key areas, such as:
- The South Caucasus
- The Black Sea region
- Financial corridors in Central Asia
Less than a year ago, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan advocated for stronger connections with ex-Soviet Turkic states at a summit held in Bishkek. This event was part of the Organization of Turkic States, which aims to promote cultural and economic ties among former Soviet republics.
Given that Turkey currently faces limited counterbalancing from its rivals, Russia and Iran, it has a significant opportunity to enhance its influence in both Central Asia and the South Caucasus. This evolving geopolitical landscape underscores Turkey’s pivotal role in international diplomacy and its broader aspirations within the region.
