Week 11 of the NFL season presents critical fantasy football insights. With essential player projections and matchup analyses, this guide aims to assist fantasy managers in making informed decisions for their lineups.
Projected Matchups and Key Insights
Dolphins vs. Commanders
- Projected Score: Dolphins 26, Commanders 24
- Lineup Locks: De’Von Achane, Jaylen Waddle, Deebo Samuel
- Win Probability: Dolphins 59% (10th highest)
- Over/Under: 50.3 (3rd highest)
The Miami offense is positioned well against a struggling Washington defense, which ranks among the worst for allowing fantasy points to receivers.
Falcons vs. Panthers
- Projected Score: Falcons 22, Panthers 19
- Lineup Locks: Bijan Robinson, Rico Dowdle, Drake London, Tetairoa McMillan
- Win Probability: Falcons 61% (8th highest)
- Over/Under: 40.9 (14th highest)
Tetairoa McMillan has seen a significant target share, although productivity has been limited. He remains a WR3 option.
Bills vs. Buccaneers
- Projected Score: Bills 26, Buccaneers 24
- Lineup Locks: Josh Allen, James Cook III, Rachaad White, Emeka Egbuka
- Win Probability: Bills 59% (11th highest)
- Over/Under: 50.2 (4th highest)
Considering the injury situation for Tampa Bay, Cade Otton’s production could increase despite a challenging matchup against Buffalo.
Texans vs. Titans
- Projected Score: Texans 26, Titans 14
- Lineup Lock: Nico Collins
- Win Probability: Texans 88% (Highest)
- Over/Under: 40.3 (Lowest)
Woody Marks is emerging as a solid running back option with potential for significant fantasy points against a weak Titans defense.
Bears vs. Vikings
- Projected Score: Bears 26, Vikings 23
- Lineup Locks: D’Andre Swift, Justin Jefferson, Rome Odunze, Jordan Addison
- Win Probability: Bears 58% (12th highest)
- Over/Under: 49 (9th highest)
With injuries impacting both squads, Minnesota’s receivers might find favorable matchups against Chicago.
Packers vs. Giants
- Projected Score: Packers 27, Giants 23
- Lineup Locks: Josh Jacobs, Wan’Dale Robinson
- Win Probability: Packers 60% (9th highest)
- Over/Under: 49.7 (6th highest)
The matchup highlights the potential for Theo Johnson to contribute significantly as a tight end.
Steelers vs. Bengals
- Projected Score: Steelers 28, Bengals 24
- Lineup Locks: Jaylen Warren, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins
- Win Probability: Steelers 64% (7th highest)
- Over/Under: 52.9 (2nd highest)
Expect an offensive showcase as both teams have been generous in allowing fantasy points.
Chiefs vs. Broncos
- Projected Score: Chiefs 24, Broncos 22
- Lineup Locks: Patrick Mahomes, Rashee Rice, Travis Kelce
- Win Probability: Chiefs 57% (13th highest)
- Over/Under: 45.4 (12th highest)
Despite tough matchups recently, Mahomes remains a solid start due to the Broncos’ defensive struggles.
Eagles vs. Lions
- Projected Score: Eagles 27, Lions 26
- Lineup Locks: Jalen Hurts, Saquon Barkley, Jahmyr Gibbs, Amon-Ra St. Brown, A.J. Brown
- Win Probability: Eagles 53% (14th highest)
- Over/Under: 53 (Highest)
The high total should benefit skill position players, especially Jameson Williams as his target share has increased.
Final Thoughts
This week’s matchups present various opportunities for fantasy managers to optimize their lineups. Utilize injury reports, player performances, and matchup stats to guide your decisions for Week 11.
