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Is Venezuela Ready for a US Attack Amid Washington’s Military Buildup?

In recent developments, Venezuela has escalated military readiness in response to increased U.S. military presence near its coast. The Venezuelan government announced a significant nationwide military mobilization to counter perceived threats from U.S. naval forces. This deployment follows the U.S. unveiling of Operation Southern Spear, intended to combat narco-terrorism in the Western Hemisphere.

Growing Tensions between Venezuela and the U.S.

The situation has heightened alarms in Caracas, with officials concerned that the U.S. might use military operations as a means to destabilize President Nicolás Maduro’s administration. Venezuelan Foreign Minister Yvan Gil declared, “We are prepared,” emphasizing the nation’s defense against foreign aggression.

Military Mobilization and Strategy

Venezuela’s Defense Minister, Vladimir Padrino Lopez, revealed that nearly 200,000 troops have been mobilized as part of the Independence Plan 200, initiated in September to strengthen defense measures. The military exercise commenced recently and underscores a unified call against U.S. actions portrayed as imperialist intervention.

  • Mobilization of 200,000 troops
  • Independence Plan 200 initiated in September
  • Defense Minister asserts majority public support against aggression

Analysts note that the Venezuelan military, closely aligned politically with the Chavismo movement, maintains solidarity in the face of external threats. This alignment stems from policies established by former President Hugo Chavez, emphasizing anti-imperialism and national sovereignty.

Venezuela’s Military Capabilities

According to Global Firepower’s 2025 Military Strength Ranking, Venezuela ranks 50th globally in military capabilities. Its position within Latin America is lower than nations such as Brazil and Mexico. Notably, Venezuela’s military force has been affected by decades of underinvestment and a focus on internal security over traditional combat training.

  • Military ranking: 50th worldwide, 7th in Latin America
  • Active personnel: 337,000
  • Operational aircraft: approximately 30 out of 49

The Venezuelan air force consists of aging assets with limited operational capacity. The country relies on Russian-supplied weaponry, including Su-30 fighter jets capable of engaging U.S. naval forces. However, defense analysts caution that the Venezuelan Navy lacks the strength to contend with U.S. maritime dominance.

U.S. Military Buildup and Objectives

The U.S. has significantly increased its military presence in the Caribbean, deploying the USS Gerald R. Ford carrier strike group, which is equipped for varied military operations. This expansion has led some experts to argue that the U.S. objectives have evolved from strictly counter-narcotics to broader regime-change goals regarding Maduro’s administration.

Despite claims that the military buildup is to combat drug smuggling, analysts suggest the primary U.S. aim may be to exert political pressure for Maduro’s resignation. Political scientist Carlos Pina believes that while a direct military invasion is unlikely, sustained military presence serves to escalate pressure on the Venezuelan leadership.

Future Implications

The continued U.S. military mobilization raises concerns about the potential for conflict. Venezuelan leaders are aware of the shifting geopolitical landscape and are preparing accordingly. The prospect of an armed conflict remains a point of debate among scholars, with the predominant view leaning towards the notion that the U.S. is likely to maintain a strategy of pressure rather than direct confrontation.

This unfolding situation emphasizes the delicate balance of power in the region and the significant implications for Venezuelan sovereignty in the face of increasing U.S. military capabilities nearby.

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