The 2025 MLB Gold Glove Award predictions highlight standout defensive performances from players in both the American and National Leagues. Evaluating their seasons provides insight into potential winners based on their defensive metrics.
American League Predictions
In the American League, the competition for the Gold Glove at first base is intense. Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who won the award in 2022, improved his performance significantly this season, achieving +8 Defensive Runs Saved (DRS). However, metrics like Outs Above Average show mixed results for Guerrero.
Two other contenders, Ty France and Carlos Santana, also had noteworthy seasons. France led first basemen with +10 DRS, while Santana closely followed with +9 DRS. Notably, Santana won the Gold Glove last year, which may influence voters.
Key American League Finalists
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: +8 Defensive Runs Saved
- Ty France: +10 Defensive Runs Saved; top in Outs Above Average
- Carlos Santana: +9 Defensive Runs Saved; previous year’s winner
This race could ultimately come down to reputation and previous performances, making it a close contest to watch.
National League Predictions
In the National League, the defensive battle at first base features three prominent players: Matt Olson, Bryce Harper, and Spencer Steer. Matt Olson stands out as a two-time Gold Glove winner who had an exceptional season. He recorded +17 DRS, placing him fifth overall among all defenders.
Olson’s proficiency is highlighted by just five errors committed over more than 1,400 innings, marking a career-best defensive season. Harper and Steer performed well but did not achieve comparable metrics to Olson.
Key National League Finalists
- Matt Olson: +17 Defensive Runs Saved; career-best defensive season
- Bryce Harper: strong defensive contributions
- Spencer Steer: solid but not as strong as Olson
Given his exceptional achievements, Olson is favored to take the award again.
Predicted Winners
Based on the analysis of their defensive statistics and previous awards, the predicted winners for the 2025 MLB Gold Glove Awards are:
- American League: Carlos Santana
- National League: Matt Olson
These predictions underscore the importance of defensive skills in Major League Baseball and highlight the players who excel in this vital aspect of the game.
