The gubernatorial and mayoral races in New Jersey and New York City are gaining attention as the 2025 elections approach. Recent polling data indicates a competitive landscape in both states, with key statistics reflecting voter sentiments.
New Jersey 2025 Gubernatorial Race
In the New Jersey gubernatorial race, Democrat Mikie Sherrill holds a slight edge over Republican Jack Ciattarelli. According to the latest Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey, Sherrill garners 49% support from likely voters, while Ciattarelli has 48%. About 2% remain undecided.
When including undecided voters, support for Sherrill rises to 50%, while Ciattarelli remains at 48%. This poll highlights a gender divide; men lean towards Ciattarelli by 16 points, whereas women support Sherrill by 18 points.
- Sherrill favorable rating: 47%
- Ciattarelli favorable rating: 48%
- Governor Phil Murphy approval: 34% approve, 50% disapprove
Economy remains a top concern, with 52% of voters prioritizing it over other issues such as threats to democracy (14%) and housing affordability (11%).
New York City 2025 Mayoral Race
The mayoral contest in New York City reveals a commanding lead for Zohran Mamdani. He currently enjoys a 25-point advantage over former Governor Andrew Cuomo, with 50% of likely voters supporting Mamdani compared to Cuomo’s 25%. Curtis Sliwa follows with 21%, and 4% of voters remain undecided.
Mamdani’s support has surged, increasing seven percentage points in recent weeks. In contrast, Cuomo’s backing has declined, particularly among Black voters, where Mamdani has increased his support from 50% to 71%. For voters under 50, Mamdani captures 69% support, while the numbers drop to 37% among older voters.
- Mamdani favorable rating: 52%
- Cuomo favorable rating: 35%
- Sliwa favorable rating: 27%
Key Voter Concerns
When asked about the most urgent issues affecting voters, 30% cited threats to democracy, followed closely by 25% who identified the economy as the primary concern.
Polling Methodology
The Emerson College Polling conducted the New Jersey survey from October 25 to 28, 2025, with a sample of 1,000 likely voters. The New York City survey took place from October 25 to 27, 2025, polling 640 voters. Both surveys have a credibility interval similar to the margin of error, set at +/- 3 percentage points for New Jersey and +/- 3.8 percentage points for New York City.
These results illustrate the competitive nature of both races as voters prepare for the upcoming elections. With significant issues and a divided electorate, the campaigns are poised for an intriguing finish.
