Josh Pate Warns of College Football Upset in Week 9

In Week 9, the Texas Longhorns face considerable challenges as they travel to take on Mississippi State. College football analyst Josh Pate has raised concerns about Texas’ offensive performance, ranking their risk level at 8.5 on his “concern meter.” Despite holding a 5-2 record and being ranked No. 22, the Longhorns’ recent output has not instilled confidence.
Texas Longhorns’ Offensive Struggles
The Longhorns managed only 179 yards in a narrow 16-13 overtime victory against Kentucky, which marks their lowest offensive total since 2015. Their passing game is stuck, and the rushing attack is equally inconsistent, resulting in stagnation on offense. As they enter this crucial matchup, the team is grappling with significant questions surrounding its ability to score points.
Mississippi State’s Competitive Edge
Mississippi State is under the guidance of first-year head coach Jeff Lebby and boasts a 4-3 record. The Bulldogs have shown resilience, coming close to upsetting top teams, including a near-win against Tennessee and only losing by two points to Florida. Pate highlights that Mississippi State is eager for a win to build momentum, particularly in the realms of recruiting and the transfer portal.
Statistical Overview
- Texas Longhorns:
- Defense: 11.3 points allowed per game (3rd in FBS)
- Total offense rank: 81st
- Third down conversion rate: 38.1% (90th nationally)
- Quarterback: Arch Manning – 1,449 passing yards, 12 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions
- Mississippi State:
- Defense: 351.3 yards allowed per game
- Pass defense rank: 30th nationally
Analyst Insights
Pate’s skepticism centers on whether Texas can maintain its defensive performance amidst offensive shortcomings. He questions if the Longhorns can rely solely on their defense throughout the season. “Can you really just ride a defense all year long?” Pate asks, emphasizing the risk of an inevitable dip in defensive performance.
As Texas prepares for this critical SEC clash at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, they must overcome their offensive hurdles. The matchup is set to take place on Saturday with kickoff scheduled for 4:15 p.m. ET, broadcast live on the SEC Network.




