The upcoming Pennsylvania Supreme Court retention election has significant implications for the 2028 presidential race. Governor Josh Shapiro is actively campaigning in support of three Democratic justices—Kevin Dougherty, Christine Donohue, and David Wecht—who are seeking new ten-year terms. This retention vote will occur in November, allowing voters to decide with a simple yes or no.
High Stakes in Pennsylvania’s Retention Vote
Shapiro emphasizes the importance of the justices, stating they have been dependable in safeguarding reproductive rights and civil liberties. Shapiro appears in an ad urging Pennsylvanians to vote “yes” to maintain a Supreme Court that protects freedoms. Historically, only one justice has lost a retention vote in Pennsylvania, suggesting a strong likelihood that the current justices may retain their positions.
Implications for Future Elections
The outcome of this election could shift the state’s judicial balance, especially if Republicans manage to oust even two justices. A change would grant them a stronger position in the 2027 elections, potentially affecting the upcoming White House race and related election litigation.
- Current Democratic majority on the court: 5-2
- Potential ramifications: Redistricting and contentious rulings on issues like abortion and environmental regulations
- Financial stakes: Over $1 billion in campaign ad spending in Pennsylvania for the 2024 cycle
Political Responses
Democrats have invested approximately $4 million in advertising, while Republicans have committed about $1.5 million. As the election approaches, these numbers are expected to rise significantly. Republican officials assert that ousting the entire bench would be a substantial victory.
State Rep. Malcolm Kenyatta remarked that this retention vote is crucial, comparing it to recent high-profile judicial races elsewhere. Meanwhile, the justices’ qualifications have received endorsements from prominent organizations, including labor unions and Planned Parenthood.
The Role of the Pennsylvania Bar Association
The three justices have been recommended by the Pennsylvania Bar Association, reinforcing their commitment to lawful governance. However, should any justices be recalled, their replacements would need to be approved by the Republican-controlled state Senate, creating potential political obstacles for Shapiro.
The stakes of the retention race are heightened as it serves as a precursor to pivotal changes in Pennsylvania’s political landscape ahead of the 2028 presidential elections. Both parties are mobilizing resources, ensuring that this vital race remains in the public eye.
