Shapovalov vs. Cilic: 2026 Australian Open Match Prediction & Odds

Denis Shapovalov, currently ranked No. 23, is set to face No. 70 Marin Cilic in the Round of 64 at the 2026 Australian Open. The match will take place on January 20, 2026. Shapovalov is favored with odds of -145, while Cilic has odds of +110.
Match Details
- Tournament: Australian Open
- Round: Round of 64
- Date: January 20, 2026
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Fubo
- Court Surface: Hard
Match Odds and Predictions
Shapovalov has an implied probability of winning at 59.2%, based on the current betting odds. Cilic, aiming to secure his first hard court tournament victory in 2026, presents a competitive challenge.
Player Performance Statistics
Over the past year, Shapovalov has maintained a 21-12 record on hard courts. He has achieved two tournament titles during this period. His performance includes winning 33.0% of his return games and 75.0% of his service games, placing him 10th in break points won on hard courts.
- Shapovalov’s Break Points: 112 out of 227 (49.3%)
- Most Recent Tournament: Lost to Raphael Collignon (4-6, 2-6) in Round of 32 at the Brisbane International on January 5.
In contrast, Marin Cilic has a 9-9 record on hard courts over the last year. He struggles with a 20.0% winning rate in return games but boasts an 81.4% success rate in service games.
- Cilic’s Break Points: 26 out of 77 (33.8%)
- Most Recent Tournament: Defeated by Nuno Borges (5-7, 3-6) in the Round of 16 at the Bank of China Hong Kong Tennis Open on January 7.
Looking Ahead
This matchup presents an intriguing clash between two players with different recent performances. Shapovalov’s stronger probability suggests he could advance, but Cilic’s experience and past successes could play a crucial role in this encounter.
Fans can follow the action live on ESPN+ and stream the match on Fubo as part of the ongoing 2026 Australian Open festivities.




