As we approach 2026, significant geopolitical risks are surfacing, indicating a potential tipping point for global relations. Heightened tensions domestically in the U.S. coupled with escalating international conflicts are converging rapidly. This analysis, led by Ian Bremmer and experts from Eurasia Group, sheds light on these pressing issues.
Major Geopolitical Risks in 2026
The Eurasia Group’s recently released report emphasizes that the United States has become a central driver of global risk. This dynamic reveals itself through various political shifts and actions both domestically and internationally.
Political Upheaval in the U.S.
- Accelerating political revolution threatens U.S. stability.
- Renewed focus on shaping political outcomes in the Western Hemisphere.
Developments in countries like Venezuela showcase the U.S.’s willingness to influence regional politics more aggressively.
International Conflicts and Instability
The report also covers several key conflicts that are exacerbating global tensions:
- Ongoing war in Ukraine, impacting European security.
- Intensifying conflicts in the Middle East.
- Rising instability among U.S. allies in Europe.
- Increased competition between the U.S. and China.
The Role of Artificial Intelligence
Artificial intelligence is emerging as a growing factor with significant geopolitical consequences. The ability of nations to harness or weaponize AI will shape future international dynamics.
A GZERO World: The Implications
Ian Bremmer describes a GZERO world, where traditional power structures are destabilized. In this new landscape:
- Power is no longer concentrated; it is often unconstrained.
- Alliances are fragile, lacking the previous certainty.
- No single nation can take on the responsibility of maintaining international stability.
The interplay of these factors creates a complex and precarious global environment as 2026 approaches. As nations navigate these rising challenges, the path ahead will require adaptability and keen strategic thinking.
For a deeper understanding of these risks and to view expert insights, the full conversation from January 5, 2026, is available on El-Balad.
